Effects of employer health costs on the trend and distribution of Social Security-taxable wages
- Collection:
- Health Policy and Services Research
- Series Title(s):
- Center for Retirement Research working paper
- Contributor(s):
- Burtless, Gary. Milusheva, Sveta. Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.
- Publication:
- Chestnut Hill, MA : Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, c2012
- Language(s):
- English
- Format:
- Text
- Subject(s):
- Employer Health Costs -- trends Health Benefit Plans, Employee -- economics Health Benefit Plans, Employee -- trends Salaries and Fringe Benefits -- trends Social Security -- economics Social Security -- trends Taxes -- statistics & numerical data Taxes -- trends Cost Sharing -- statistics & numerical data Cost Sharing -- trends Employer Health Costs -- statistics & numerical data Forecasting Health Benefit Plans, Employee -- statistics & numerical data Health Care Costs -- trends Health Care Reform -- legislation & jurisprudence Insurance, Health -- economics Salaries and Fringe Benefits -- statistics & numerical data Social Security -- statistics & numerical data Humans United States
- Genre(s):
- Technical Report
- Abstract:
- The increasing cost of employer contributions for employee health insurance reduces the percentage of compensation that is subject to the payroll tax. Rising insurance contributions can also have a more subtle effect on the Social Security tax base because they influence the distribution of money wages. Workers bear most of the burden of employer health contributions through lower money wages. Any change in the average cost and distribution of costs of employer health plans can have an effect on the distribution of wages and the percentage of wages subject to the payroll tax. This paper uses the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) to analyze trends in the cost of employer health contributions and the cross-worker distribution of health contributions. Our analysis shows that the 1996-2008 increase in employer health premiums was faster than overall compensation increases but only slightly faster among workers below the taxable maximum compared with those above the maximum. However, because employer health insurance premiums represent a much higher percentage of compensation below the maximum taxed earnings amount, the effect of health cost trends exerted a disproportionate downward pressure on money wages below the taxable maximum, reducing the percentage of compensation subject to the payroll tax. We simulated the implications of the health reform law on the trend in employer health costs around 2016. We find only slight effects on the fraction of worker compensation that will be subject to Social Security taxes. The higher insurance costs faced by employers who will be required to offer health plans will be approximately offset by lower health costs on the part of employers who will see some insured employees accept subsidized health insurance outside of an employer plan. The main long-term impact of reform on the taxable wage base is likely to be through its effect on the trend in underlying health care costs.
- Copyright:
- Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further use of the material is subject to CC BY license. (More information)
- Illustrations:
- Illustrations
- NLM Unique ID:
- 101584824 (See catalog record)
- Permanent Link:
- http://resource.nlm.nih.gov/101584824